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AC

AMERICAS CARMART INC (CRMT)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • CRMT printed a soft Q1 FY26: total revenue $341.3M (-1.9% YoY) and diluted EPS of -$0.69 as unit volumes fell 5.7% amid inventory capacity constraints and a ~$500/unit procurement cost headwind tied to tariffs; gross margin expanded 160 bps to 36.6% on pricing, ancillary attachment, lower repair severity, and wholesale retention .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, CRMT posted a large miss: EPS -$0.69 vs +$0.83 estimate, revenue $339.6M vs $359.2M estimate, and EBITDA $11.8M vs $28.2M estimate; shortfall was driven by lower units, elevated provision for credit losses (+8% YoY), and higher SG&A from accelerated tech investments, partly offset by lower interest expense and margin gains [functions.GetEstimates]*.
  • Strategic execution advanced: LOS V2 (risk-based pricing) went live chainwide and “Pay Your Way” collections upgrade nearly doubled recurring payment enrollments, improving cash flow predictability; securitization costs continued to decline (Aug ABS coupon 5.46%, -81 bps vs May), supporting lower financing costs over time .
  • Key near-term watch items: unlocking inventory capacity (30% advance rate, $30M cap on inventory borrowing base), wholesale price/tariff normalization (management expects back-half seasonal relief), and SG&A cadence (about half of Q1 increase to unwind in 2H; ~5% annual savings from collections modernization longer-term) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Gross margin expanded to 36.6% (+160 bps YoY; +20 bps QoQ) on pricing discipline, ancillary attachment, fewer repairs, and better wholesale retention .
    • Collections healthy: total collections +6.2% YoY to $183.6M; average collection per active customer rose to $585/month (from $562) .
    • Tech and capital progress: LOS V2 deployed (more predictive scorecard and embedded risk-based pricing); Pay Your Way upgrade nearly doubled recurring enrollment; ABS coupon improved to 5.46% with strong oversubscription, indicating growing capital efficiency .
    • Management quote: “The new scorecard is delivering exactly what we designed it to do… shifting mix towards our highest ranked customers… [driving] lower loss frequency and severity, faster breakeven, [and] stronger returns” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Volume decline: retail units fell 5.7% to 13,568, as higher procurement costs (~+$500/unit) and a tight ABL inventory advance/cap constrained inventory and sales despite strong application growth .
    • Credit costs/provision: Provision for credit losses increased 8% YoY; NCOs ticked to 6.6% (from 6.4%) as softer sales reduced the denominator and legacy pools saw higher frequency/severity; 30+ DQ was 3.8% (+30 bps YoY), albeit trending lower post-quarter .
    • Expense pressure: SG&A rose 10.1% YoY to $51.4M on payroll and accelerated tech rollouts (LOS V2 and Pay Your Way); management expects ~50% of the increase to unwind after Q2 completion, but Q1 burden weighed on EPS .

Financial Results

Headline financials – trend (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$325.7 $370.2 $341.3
Diluted EPS ($)$0.37 $1.26 -$0.69
Gross Margin %35.7% 36.4% 36.6%
SG&A ($USD Millions)$46.5 $48.3 $51.4
Provision for Credit Losses ($USD Millions)$86.7 $93.0 $103.0
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)$16.9 $17.4 $17.0

Q1 FY26 vs prior year and vs estimates (S&P Global)

MetricQ1 FY25 ActualQ1 FY26 ActualS&P ConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$347.8 $339.6*$359.2*-$19.6M (miss)*
Diluted EPS ($)-$0.15 -$0.69 $0.83*-$1.52 (miss)*
EBITDA ($USD Millions)N/A$11.8*$28.2*-$16.4M (miss)*

Note: Reported Q1 FY26 total revenue was $341.3M, while S&P’s “Revenue” actual for estimate comparison is $339.6M due to definitional differences; we anchor beats/misses to S&P [functions.GetEstimates].
Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Revenue composition (oldest → newest)

Revenue ComponentQ3 FY25 ($M)Q4 FY25 ($M)Q1 FY26 ($M)
Sales$263.5 $309.7 $276.2
Interest Income$62.2 $60.5 $65.1

Key operating KPIs (oldest → newest)

KPIQ3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26
Retail Units Sold13,198 15,649 13,568
Avg Retail Sales Price ($)19,275 19,049 19,564
Total Gross Profit per Unit ($)7,131 7,209 7,456
Gross Margin %35.7% 36.4% 36.6%
Same-store Revenue Growth3.1% -3.9% -4.1%
Total Collections ($000s)176,338 191,114 183,571
Avg Collection per Active Cust./Mo ($)568 612 585
Net Charge-offs (% Avg Fin. Rec.)6.1% 6.9% 6.6%
30+ Day Delinquencies3.7% 3.4% 3.8%
Active Customer Count103,663 104,682 104,691
Avg Down Payment %5.1% 6.2% 4.9%
Weighted Avg Total Contract Term (mo)48.3 48.3 48.3

Guidance Changes

Metric/TopicPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent Guidance / CommentaryChange
SG&A cadenceFY26 2HNot specified~50% of Q1 YoY SG&A increase expected to unwind after tech completion in Q2 New/update
SG&A structural savings (collections modernization)LTNot specified“Pay Your Way” to drive ~5% annual SG&A cost reduction over time New
SG&A % targetLTMid-16% of sales targetTarget reiterated; path aided by tech and collections modernization Maintained
Inventory financing capacityNear-termNot specifiedABL inventory advances constrained (30% advance rate; $30M cap); evaluating alternatives to expand capacity New (risk/watch)
ABS funding costsNear-termMay’25 ABS 6.27% couponAug’25 ABS coupon 5.46% (-81 bps); 4th consecutive coupon improvement; spreads -308 bps since 2024-1 Lowered cost of capital
Used car pricing outlookFY26 2HNot specifiedExpect seasonal price declines in back half as tariff effects normalize New
Delinquency trend post-quarterAug’25N/ADQ ended Aug at 2.8% vs 3.8% at Q1 end; day-to-day normalized to ~3.4%-3.6% Improved
ASP trajectoryNear-termNot specifiedExpect ASP (ex-ancillaries) to positively affect revenue; remain disciplined on margin New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 FY25, Q4 FY25)Current Period (Q1 FY26)Trend
Underwriting/LOSLOS tightened credit box; improved credit performance . Q4: LOS capabilities expanded .LOS V2 live with risk-based pricing; mix shifted +15% to ranks 5–7; better expected unit economics .Strengthening
Collections modernizationLimited prior disclosurePay Your Way upgrade; online shift and recurring payments nearly doubled; supports predictability and SG&A savings .Improving
Procurement/used car pricing/tariffsQ3: procurement/disposal improvements . Q4: ASP down YoY to aid affordability .Tariffs/wholesale pricing +~$500/unit headwind; expects back-half seasonal relief .Headwind easing later
Capital markets/cost of capitalJan’25 ABS 6.49% (-95 bps vs Oct’24); ABL to $350M .May’25 ABS 6.27%; Aug’25 ABS 5.46%; oversubscribed; spreads -308 bps since 2024-1 .Improving
Credit performanceQ3 NCO 6.1%; DQ 3.7% (weather impact) . Q4 NCO 6.9%; DQ 3.4% .NCO 6.6%; DQ 3.8% but improved to 2.8% by end Aug; allowance 23.35% (vs 25.00% YoY) .Stable to improving
Demand/applicationsQ3: units +13.2% YoY .Applications +10% YoY for Q1; July +26.5%; higher intent; constrained by inventory capacity .Rising demand
Reporting/controls10-K delay tied to enhanced modification disclosures; remediation underway .Remediating

Management Commentary

  • “With LOS V2 now live… embedded risk based pricing is now better aligning expected returns with customer profiles… 15% more of our volume came from ranks five through seven” .
  • “Since the upgrade of Pay Your Way… we have nearly doubled the number of customers enrolled in recurring payments, creating more predictable cash flows, and reducing collection costs” .
  • “We saw a knock on effect from tariffs, which drove a $500 per unit increase in the procurement costs during the quarter… pricing [has] since smoothed out” .
  • “We… completed a $172 million [ABS]… 5.46%… fourth consecutive improvement… reduced our weighted average spread by 308 basis points since our 2024-1 transaction” .
  • “Currently, we face both a low advance rate of 30% and a cap of $30 million on our inventory advances… putting ongoing pressure on our ability to expand retail sales… exploring alternative financing solutions” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Inventory/procurement costs and demand: Management cited tariff-driven ~$500/unit procurement increase and noted strong application growth sustained into August/September; procurement pricing has “smoothed out,” but inventory capacity constrained sales .
  • Credit normalization: With LOS-originated contracts now ~72% of portfolio, management expects more “normal” seasonal NCO cadence; Q1 DQ uptick partly tied to Pay Your Way transition, with DQ later normalized and August ending at 2.8% .
  • SG&A cadence: Q2 similar to Q1, then ~half of the increase to unwind in 2H; longer-term ~5% SG&A savings from collections modernization, targeting mid-16% SG&A of sales .
  • Used car pricing outlook: Expect typical back-half seasonal decline as tariff effects normalize; affordability remains focus alongside margin discipline .
  • Capital structure details: ABL constraints (30% advance, $30M cap on inventory) reduce flexibility to season receivables for ABS execution; company evaluating financing alternatives to unlock capacity .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 FY26 vs S&P Global consensus: EPS -$0.69 vs $0.83; Revenue $339.6M vs $359.2M; EBITDA $11.8M vs $28.2M — a broad-based miss led by lower unit volume (-5.7% YoY), elevated provision (+8% YoY), and higher SG&A from accelerated tech investments, partly offset by lower interest expense and 160 bps gross margin expansion [functions.GetEstimates].
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution improving but capacity-constrained: Strong application trends and better-risk mix from LOS V2 are positives, yet ABL inventory constraints currently limit unit growth; financing solutions are a key near-term catalyst .
  • Cost of capital continues to fall: Another ABS coupon step-down to 5.46% with heavy oversubscription signals structural funding improvements (spreads -308 bps since 2024-1) .
  • Margin durability: Gross margin gains (36.6%) reflect pricing, ancillary attachment, and lower repair intensity; management intends to remain disciplined even as ASPs rise .
  • Credit stable with improved portfolio quality: NCOs at 6.6% and allowance at 23.35% (vs 25.00% YoY) with LOS-originated contracts ~72% of the portfolio; DQ normalized post-quarter .
  • SG&A inflection setup: Q2 similar to Q1, then ~50% unwind of the increase in 2H; longer-term ~5% SG&A savings from collections modernization; target mid-16% SG&A/sales .
  • Watch tariff/wholesale normalization and ASP trajectory: Management expects seasonal relief and ASP to positively impact revenue, but will prioritize affordability and portfolio quality .
  • Stock-reaction catalyst: The quarter’s significant EPS/revenue/EBITDA miss vs Street sets up estimate cuts near-term; unlocking inventory capacity and continued ABS improvement are the narrative shifts to watch for multiple support [functions.GetEstimates] .
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Additional Detail and Cross-References

  • Q1 FY26 headline figures: Total revenue $341.3M (-1.9% YoY), units 13,568 (-5.7%), interest income +7.5%, gross margin 36.6% (+160 bps YoY), EPS -$0.69; collections $183.6M (+6.2%) .
  • YoY drivers: Fewer retail units due to fewer units available for sale and higher procurement costs; partial offset from margin improvement and higher interest income .
  • Balance sheet/leverage: Debt/finance receivables 51.1%; debt net of cash/finance receivables 43.1% (vs 53.4% and 46.7% YoY); finance receivables principal $1.516B; inventory $112.5M .
  • Financing actions: Aug 28 ABS $172M, 5.46% coupon (-81 bps vs May); May 29 ABS $216M, 6.27% coupon; strong investor demand .
  • Controls/Disclosure: 10-K filed Aug 8 with enhanced contract modification disclosures; remediation of related material weakness underway .

Footnote: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*